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Australian economy

Today

 The war is driving up costs.

‘It will affect everything’: This was the week the war hit home

The war is no longer distant. From farms to supermarkets, the shock is spreading through the economy, and Australia could be pushed towards recession if it drags on.

Yesterday

The fuel security challenge might be the crisis du jour, but our failure to treat sovereignty as a national responsibility extends far beyond the petrol pump.

Australia’s fuel crisis is just the first domino to fall

Rebuilding our lost sovereignty will require government to rein in profligate spending on industry losers and stop treating the budget as a bottomless well.

RBA governor Michele Bullock may have to raise interest rates again given how far ahead most home buyers are ahead on their mortgages.

Middle East conflict could push inflation to mid-sixes by June

A swift resolution to the war won’t be enough to stop prices marching higher, economists warn.

This Month

Workplace Relations Minister Amanda Rishworth and Treasurer Jim Chalmers say relief is needed for lower income workers doing it tough.

Labor’s wage rise plan amid oil spike risks ‘stagflation’

Economists fear a decision to increase minimum pay could aggravate impacts of the energy price shock, push inflation higher and put more people out of work.

Australian crops will be hit by any supply limitations of fertiliser - and that could make many foods more expensive.

Inflation and fertiliser price spike to hit Australia: OECD

The OECD called out Australia for a “resurgence in inflation” that pre-dates the Middle East conflict and warned of further interest rate rises.

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NAB will cut 170 more jobs.

NAB to cut 170 jobs in business division, add international roles

The bank’s Australian business division is the latest to be hit by consolidation as it adds hundreds of jobs in India and Vietnam.

Millie Rose Bannister.

Economists found a ‘give up’ cliff. Young Australians are teetering

There is a tipping point where young people, overwhelmed by the widening gap between effort and outcome, begin to disengage from traditional financial goals.

The unaffordable price of dwellings is causing pain in the younger generations and their belief in the Australian system of government.

An entire generation is losing faith in Australian democracy

The crippling economic inequality between the young and old, especially for housing, is starting to show in attitudes towards the system of government.

The RBA has a new board member for its interest rate setting committee.

RBA’s narrow pathway on inflation will need to widen

If the central bank is serious about getting core inflation back to its 2.5 per cent target, it will need to abandon a dual goal to keep the unemployment rate low.

The WA premier is urging gas giants to develop their unused fields off the state’s north-west.

Stand up to whinging gas giants

Readers’ letters on a controversial drawing in The Australian Financial Review, gas tax, replacing Jacinta Allan, and self-managed superannuation funds.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says Australia is well-placed and well-prepared to deal with the Middle East war impacts, but he warns “we will be buffeted”.

War will keep inflation ‘higher for longer’: Chalmers

New data from the period before the Iran conflict broke out shows headline inflation in Australia remained high and outside the Reserve Bank’s target range.

TOil surged by the most in four years,

This oil shock is not as bad as the 1970s. Not yet

Fuel prices have not increased as dramatically, 5 per cent inflation is a long way from double-digits, and most home borrowers can cope – for now.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has urged caution on Donald Trump’s claims.

Chalmers warns CEOs against premature optimism on Middle East peace

The treasurer says the degree of damage Australia sustains depends on how long the war lasts and how quickly the global economy rebounds afterwards.

European trade policy is shackled by agrarian protectionism, high regulatory standards and the political complexities of the EU system.

EU deal shows rules-based order isn’t dead yet

The EU deal may not be what every sector wanted, but in a world that is more contested and uncertain, it provides a valuable insurance policy for Australia.

Consumer confidence hits historic low ahead of May budget

The worst confidence result in more than 50 years has economists concerned about Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ ability to sell an ambitious tax plan in the budget.

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The cosy “club” economy is showing its age, as inflation becomes entrenched and the cost of living rises.

How big business ‘club’ is causing Australia’s economic problem

Oligopolies and a lack of foreign investment are driving up the cost of living, yet governments on both sides of the aisle are turning a blind eye.

US President Donald Trump speaks at the White House as market anxiety intensifies amid fears there is no short-term fix to stabilise the oil price.

Markets face ‘big 36 hours’ as Iran threats wipe billions from ASX

As the conflict in the Middle East drags on, big investors are growing increasingly uncertain, sending bond and equities markets yo-yoing.

The NDIS costs the federal budget around $50 billion every year, and is projected to reach $100 billion by 2034-35.

NDIS cuts loom amid Treasury productivity push

Labor is looking to halve growth in spending on Australia’s $52 billion disability insurance scheme as it pushes to improve productivity and save money.

International Energy Agency head Fatih Birol addressed the National Press Club on Monday.

IEA boss warns Australia against ‘abrupt’ changes to oil and gas taxes

International Energy Agency executive director says sudden tax changes on gas exports could damage Australia’s reputation as a reliable trading partner.

Markets believe that RBA governor Michele Bullock will lift the cash rate at least three more times by Christmas.

Recession risk ignored as traders bet on triple rate rise

Bond markets price in three more hikes by Christmas as global yields hit 15-year highs, but economists warn aggressive tightening risks breaking the economy.