This Month
Chalmers warns CEOs against premature optimism on Middle East peace
The treasurer says the degree of damage Australia sustains depends on how long the war lasts and how quickly the global economy rebounds afterwards.
China touts itself as ‘harbour of stability’ to global CEOs
Premier Li Qiang told more than 70 business leaders gathered in Beijing that the world’s second-largest economy offered a predictable commercial environment.
Chinese economy surprises with rebound, but war risks remain
The figures provide an encouraging snapshot of the world’s second-biggest economy, after it ended 2025 with the slowest growth since the pandemic reopening.
Trump’s ‘team effort’ no match for oil jitters in central bank week
The US president is asking for help, as the world’s biggest central banks prepare to talk about oil and inflation.
US economy lost momentum, inflation held firm before war
The estimate of fourth-quarter growth was cut in half and core PCE came in up 3.1pc in January from the prior year, the most in nearly two years.
China consumer prices buoyed by oil price surge and Lunar New Year
China has been struggling with deflationary pressures for more than three years amid soft domestic demand and a deep slump in the property market.
War and oil spark global bond firestorm on rates rethink
Yields are surging as the jump in energy prices caused by the strikes on Iran raises the prospect of higher borrowing costs worldwide.
Iran strikes go to show rising geopolitical investment risk
This new world order demands sharper discipline and clearer strategic conviction. The corporate play book must shift accordingly.
Oil spike just collided with SaaS-pocalypse and cockroach fears
The tech sell-off will “not be arrested by the conflict in the Middle East”, says BCA Research’s chief geopolitical strategist. “It will be accelerated.”
February
An ‘insane’ new wealth tax has global investors panicking
The Dutch are facing a levy on any increase in the value of their stock, bond or crypto investments, in the latest such global tax move to spark an outcry.
The litigation of Donald Trump’s trade war has only just begun
If we’ve learnt anything in the past few years, it’s that the president says what he’s going to do and then does it. So don’t expect the tariff chaos to stop any time soon.
Supreme Court tariff decision won’t stop Trump turbulence
The prudent course for investors and policymakers is to prepare for further uncertainty during the last two years of the president’s final term.
Why Trump will be a ‘political loser’ under his new tariff regime
The Supreme Court dulled Donald Trump’s negotiating edge but sharpened his resolve. Expect friction with trade partners and uncertainty for business all over again.
We must not follow Europe into the darkness
Rather than learning from Europe’s stagnation, the Albanese government appears to be borrowing from their policy playbook
US GDP growth slows to 1.4pc, missing forecasts
Data also showed the Fed’s preferred measure of underlying inflation in December rose the most in nearly a year. Core PCE rose 3 per cent on an annual basis.
Macron urges Europe to stand up to aggressive Trump
The French president has called on the bloc to take the necessary steps to become a true global economic power.
The world has changed and so must your investment portfolio
Governments and central banks are changing policy as the rules-based order fractures. Investors must reconsider long-held assumptions and adapt.
Redesign Future Made In Australia for Carney’s ruptured world
We need a new synthesis of economic rationalism and state capacity at home, one fit for a world of rolling geopolitical turmoil and economic uncertainty.
January
Belated budget repair vital to tame inflation
The prudent course would be for the treasurer to spend the next three months crafting a deflationary budget strategy to take pressure off interest rates.
EU and India clinch ‘mother of all deals’ in rebuff to Trump
The conclusion of negotiations reflects the rapidly shifting global alignment following the US president’s embrace of an aggressive trade strategy.
