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James Thomson

Columnist

James Thomson is senior Chanticleer columnist based in Melbourne. He was the Companies editor and editor of BRW Magazine. Connect with James on Twitter. Email James at j.thomson@afr.com

James Thomson

Yesterday

The super sector went into the Iran crisis with plenty of risks to chew over.

Why the super sector should be doubly worried about Iran

The superannuation sector hopes the Iran crisis is solved quickly so it can avoid the risk of a nasty bear market colliding with persistent operational issues.

Trump’s sudden about-face on Iran this week makes sense when you understand the maths.

24 days to disaster: Trump’s new deadline won’t change oil shock maths

It’s hard to avoid thinking Trump’s fresh cut-off for a deal with Iran wasn’t prompted by a sell-off on Wall Street. Whatever the case, he’s running out of time.

“You can’t freeze because of the geopolitical situation,” says Elana Rubin.

Boards fight against paralysis as Iran shock hits – but it ain’t easy

Shortages caused by the Iran war go beyond fuel. Away from the headlines, many companies are wondering how they are doing to handle supply shocks.

Director Roundtable BOSS Group shot of Directors: Mark Rigotti , Elena Rubin,Mike Hirst, Helen Kurincic,  Kee Wong, Michael Wachtel.

Top directors: Recession risk now ‘more likely’

Leading company directors have abandoned high hopes for 2026, warning economic pain from the Iran conflict could be deeper and last longer than people realise.

This Month

Jim Zelter says the noise around private credit isn’t being reflected on the ground.

Macquarie’s Shemara Wikramanayake nails the big private credit risk

While the heavyweights of private credit told the superannuation sector everything’s fine in Melbourne on Thursday, two experts see long-term risks rising.

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The gap between what’s happening in markets and the real world just isn’t closing.

Markets just keep ignoring the energy shock that is already here

There are better signs out of the Middle East, but even peace tomorrow won’t stop the existing oil and gas crisis. So why don’t investors care?

Donald Trump insists an end to the war is just around the corner. But are investors listening?

Iran may have just de-escalated. Here’s what investors must do

Markets are wary about Donald Trump’s declarations about the war ending. But one strategist says they should also watch Tehran’s actions, not its words.

Barrenjoey’s Jo Masters says the underlying strength of the Australian economy creates a nasty problem for the RBA as the oil shock hits.

Two rate hikes, falling house prices tipped as inflation shock builds

Inflation from the oil shock is about to collide with an Australian economy that can keep growing strongly for the next six months.

Donald Trump’s sudden backflip provides a way out of the conflict for both sides.

Fresh or fake TACO, we’ve got an off-ramp. Now only one thing matters

Donald Trump’s sudden backflip on Iran offers hope that a way out of this war is possible. But while the Strait of Hormuz stays shut, the mess is far from over.

Myer boss Olivia Wirth is working hard to turn Myer around, but investors aren’t keen.

Wirth’s Myer rescue mission is caught in the eye of the storm

The executive chairwoman is rebuilding the Australian icon after years of underinvestment. She’s making the right moves, but the market is not in a patient place.

Lori Heinel fears a self-fulfilling prophecy emerging in private credit.

New day, new cockroach: $9trn fundie’s big private credit fear

As yet another fund limits redemptions, Lori Heinel, the chief investment officer of investment giant State Street, worries a doom loop is emerging.

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says there’s a kind of ‘civic miracle’ that comes from long-term investing.

Larry Fink has an answer to the risk of AI ripping society apart

The billionaire BlackRock boss says that with the old model of global capitalism breaking down, broadening long-term participation in markets can solve some big problems.

Donald Trump’s ultimatum sets up a huge week for investors.

Iran could crack markets this week, 25pc plunge ‘definitely possible’

Investors are waking up to the size of the energy shock from the Middle East conflict. What happens over the next few days on the battlefield and bond markets could be decisive.

The housing affordability crisis has a new generational angle.

Why older Australians are becoming a housing pain point

New data shows there is another generation starting to feel the pinch from higher mortgage rates. And it’s not who you think.

Solomon Lew says Premier Investments is well placed to withstand any downturn.

The stagflationary mix that has billionaire Solomon Lew worried

The veteran rag trader is confident his Peter Alexander and Smiggle chains can withstand the cost-of-living crunch. But he sees economic pain building.

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As the Middle East crisis deepens, strategic fuel rationing is required now to protect the supply chain before vital supplies run out.

Beyond the fog of war: The real energy Armageddon is just beginning

The Iran conflict could upend global markets for months, maybe years. But zoom out. The mayhem has built for decades and won’t end when the fighting stops.

Donald Trump’s war has already brought the prospect of at least months of repairs to vital infrastructure.

Iran just hit 20pc of world’s LNG supply. Oil shock is only growing

The Fed says it simply doesn’t know how bad the energy fallout from the war will be. But new assaults on infrastructure will prolong the real-world pain.

Ray Dalio says the Strait of Hormuz is becoming a sort of final battle for the American empire.

Iran ends ‘frothy bull market’. Dalio fears end of US as we know it

Fund managers aren’t feeling as cocky as they were, but the disconnect between the oil shock and investors persists. One billionaire thinks that’s a mistake.

Brandon Craig has huge shoes to fill at BHP.

BHP’s new CEO will shift the Big Australian’s centre of gravity

Brandon Craig is a miner’s miner and an ideal candidate to bridge the gap to the company’s copper-tinged future. But he faces a steep learning curve.

Michele Bullock has little choice but to push rates higher as the energy shock compounds an already difficult inflation outlook.

Rate rise confirms a slowdown is coming. How bad does it need to be?

The RBA is not in a good place to risk looking through the Iran energy shock. The question becomes: how bad does the slowdown need to be to beat inflation?