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Featured Opinion

Australia’s fuel crisis is just the first domino to fall

Rebuilding our lost sovereignty will require government to rein in profligate spending on industry losers and stop treating the budget as a bottomless well.

Editorial

The AFR View

As the world burns, Canberra fumbles

The economic effects of the Iran crisis make the Albanese government’s budget decisions harder – but also more necessary to make tough choices. That’s not happening.

Prepare for synchronised global hikes

Between the Iran war supply shock and the upward revision of “neutral” rates, we are staring at a cash rate of at least 5 per cent.

South Australia is now like a one-party state

One Nation’s SA election success has not just decimated the Liberals, but more importantly, it has gutted effective opposition and undermined democracy.

Policy expert

Scott Prasser

Most directors prefer to be on private boards, and that is a big worry

Sobering new survey findings should worry policymakers, regulators and anyone with an interest in the health and resilience of the country’s listed markets.

Associate editor

Joyce Moullakis

Ignored warnings about fuel security have left Australia vulnerable

It’s not as though we haven’t been warned before – since in 2012 there have been warnings about the nation’s fuel reserves.

Political editor

Phillip Coorey

Canberra wants Tomago saved – just not all on its dime

Australia needs to avoid indulging in political slush funds dressed up as “industrial policy” and pivot towards a smarter, future-looking strategy.

Editorial

The AFR View

The elusive illiquidity premium forces private assets rethink

The guiding principle that has guided billions of dollars of institutional capital into private assets might not actually exist. That’s led to soul-searching.

Senior reporter

Jonathan Shapiro
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Yesterday

The Chanticleer podcast features James Thomson and Anthony Macdonald.

Iran war price shock, private credit pain and WFH battle reignites

James and Anthony tackle global energy volatility, credit market cockroaches and take a question on oil companies and their super profits.

Lando Norris in action during the Australian Grand Prix in early March.

F1 wants a Chinese team. BYD is in pole position

If BYD enters the motorsport, the world’s biggest electric vehicle maker will have a shot at building genuine global desirability for its cars.

The super sector went into the Iran crisis with plenty of risks to chew over.

Why the super sector should be doubly worried about Iran

The superannuation sector hopes the Iran crisis is solved quickly so it can avoid the risk of a nasty bear market colliding with persistent operational issues.

Protesters wave Iranian flags at a bridge leading to the fortified Green Zone where the US embassy is located in Baghdad, Iraq on February 28.

The same alliance from 1979 is happening again. History cannot repeat

Two strange bedfellows are getting together for another round, ignoring the lessons of what results when principles are traded for short-term alignment.

“You can’t freeze because of the geopolitical situation,” says Elana Rubin.

Boards fight against paralysis as Iran shock hits – but it ain’t easy

Shortages caused by the Iran war go beyond fuel. Away from the headlines, many companies are wondering how they are doing to handle supply shocks.

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This Month

Jim Zelter says the noise around private credit isn’t being reflected on the ground.

Macquarie’s Shemara Wikramanayake nails the big private credit risk

While the heavyweights of private credit told the superannuation sector everything’s fine in Melbourne on Thursday, two experts see long-term risks rising.

The congress, under President Xi Jinping’s watch, has become an even more staged-managed affair than in the past.

China has already won the Iran war

Donald Trump had better do a deal with Iran soon. If the Strait of Hormuz is closed for another month, it is game, set and match to the Russo-Chinese axis.

Google launched the Midlothian Data Centre in Texas in November, and is considering a $20 billion facility in Australia.

Australia must choose the right metric to tax the digital economy

The three theories of value – activity, intellectual property, infrastructure – that the government could use to determine taxation must be closely examined.

The unaffordable price of dwellings is causing pain in the younger generations and their belief in the Australian system of government.

An entire generation is losing faith in Australian democracy

The crippling economic inequality between the young and old, especially for housing, is starting to show in attitudes towards the system of government.

The RBA has a new board member for its interest rate setting committee.

RBA’s narrow pathway on inflation will need to widen

If the central bank is serious about getting core inflation back to its 2.5 per cent target, it will need to abandon a dual goal to keep the unemployment rate low.

The gap between what’s happening in markets and the real world just isn’t closing.

Markets just keep ignoring the energy shock that is already here

There are better signs out of the Middle East, but even peace tomorrow won’t stop the existing oil and gas crisis. So why don’t investors care?

I escaped from Iran. But I keep reliving the horror

America and Israel were only supposed to hit the Revolutionary Guards but they’re hitting everyone. I don’t think anyone will rise up now.

WiseTech Global, Atlassian and Block have all signed off on big redundancy rounds.

Sacking staff for AI is losing its stigma. What is our plan?

A sector long viewed as a future-proof career option has been the first to publicly blame the technology for big redundancy rounds.

Shemara Wikramanayake will rule off Macquarie’s books this time next week.

Macquarie’s last-minute sprint to March 31 balance date

If Macquarie manages a clean, quick sale of its European smart meter business, it will have pulled a rabbit out of a hat.

The WA premier is urging gas giants to develop their unused fields off the state’s north-west.

Stand up to whinging gas giants

Readers’ letters on a controversial drawing in The Australian Financial Review, gas tax, replacing Jacinta Allan, and self-managed superannuation funds.

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Anthropic chief executive Dario Amodei.

Time for government to show Dario Amodei its hand in AI poker game

Giants such as Anthropic want to invest fortunes in Australia for infrastructure, and Australia wants their money, but the government must play its cards right.

Japan’s ambassador to Australia, Kazuhiro Suzuki

Not in the dictionary, but no mistaking envoy’s meaning

Japan’s ambassador to Australia says any change to gas taxes will curtail investment and Australia’s reputation as a reliable energy partner.

TOil surged by the most in four years,

This oil shock is not as bad as the 1970s. Not yet

Fuel prices have not increased as dramatically, 5 per cent inflation is a long way from double-digits, and most home borrowers can cope – for now.

Australian is throwing money at old-world energy users, while demanding more of the new world.

Smelters v software: The high-voltage battle for votes and dollars

Would it be better to free up electricity from smelters to invest elsewhere? Or can we have both?

Donald Trump insists an end to the war is just around the corner. But are investors listening?

Iran may have just de-escalated. Here’s what investors must do

Markets are wary about Donald Trump’s declarations about the war ending. But one strategist says they should also watch Tehran’s actions, not its words.